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I love the Twins here. Liriano looks for revenge lasttime he faced the Royals he gave up 7 ER. We backed Chris Carpenter on two max plays like this too before the break and won both as Carpenter bounced back. Chen may have a 3.26 ERA on the year but Twins hitters are hitting .319 off the lefty and in his last 3 starts vs. the Twins he has a 2.06 WHIP over 17 IP as he's given up 6 walks 29 hits and 14 ER. Royals have just a .653 OPS vs. Lirano and July is Chen's worst month by far over the last 3 years where he has posted a 6.36 ERA over 10 starts. in every other month he has an ERA in the 4's or lower.